External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach

International Journal of Cogent Economics & Finance,P.-18

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Main Authors: Oyelam, Lukman Oyeyinka, Olomola, P.A.
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:inglês
Publicado em: Cogent Economics & Finance 2023
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Acesso em linha:https://ir.oauife.edu.ng/123456789/5475
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author Oyelam, Lukman Oyeyinka
Olomola, P.A.
author_facet Oyelam, Lukman Oyeyinka
Olomola, P.A.
author_sort Oyelam, Lukman Oyeyinka
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description International Journal of Cogent Economics & Finance,P.-18
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publisher Cogent Economics & Finance
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spelling oai:ir.oauife.edu.ng:123456789-54752023-05-13T18:08:27Z External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach Oyelam, Lukman Oyeyinka Olomola, P.A. International Finance Macroeconomics Monetary Economics shock and price GVAR International Journal of Cogent Economics & Finance,P.-18 : This study investigates the macroeconomic responses of Nigerian economy to external shock between 1986 and 2014. Specifically, we examine the effect of oil price shocks and macroeconomic shocks from developed trading partners on Nigerian macroeconomic performances in order to establish pattern of reactions to these shocks in the country. We employ global vector autoregression (GVAR) comprising of the US, EU, China, Japan and Nigeria as the reference country. The adoption as of this method of estimation is necessitated by its capability to effectively model complex high-dimensional system and also offers adequate tools to deal with the curse of dimensionality that can arise from a study of this nature. Having critically examined the econometric properties of our GVAR model, the results from our estimation based on impulse response function show that oil price shocks have direct effect on real gross domestic product and exchange rate in Nigeria but variables like inflation and short-term interest rate do not show immediate response to the shocks. The results also indicate that macroeconomic variables such as short-term interest and inflation show immediate responses to shocks to counterpart variables in developed countries. Based on this, the study concludes that Nigerian economy is vulnerable to external shocks and such shocks are not limited to oil price shocks. Other form of shocks such as growth spillover and financial shocks from developed countries are also relevant in shaping the macroeconomic performances in Nigeria. 2023-05-13T17:46:43Z 2023-05-13T17:46:43Z 2016-10-17 Journal 10.1080/23322039.2016.1239317 https://ir.oauife.edu.ng/123456789/5475 en application/pdf Cogent Economics & Finance
spellingShingle International Finance
Macroeconomics
Monetary Economics
shock and price
GVAR
Oyelam, Lukman Oyeyinka
Olomola, P.A.
External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach
title External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach
title_full External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach
title_fullStr External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach
title_full_unstemmed External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach
title_short External shocks and macroeconomic responses in Nigeria: A global VAR approach
title_sort external shocks and macroeconomic responses in nigeria a global var approach
topic International Finance
Macroeconomics
Monetary Economics
shock and price
GVAR
url https://ir.oauife.edu.ng/123456789/5475
work_keys_str_mv AT oyelamlukmanoyeyinka externalshocksandmacroeconomicresponsesinnigeriaaglobalvarapproach
AT olomolapa externalshocksandmacroeconomicresponsesinnigeriaaglobalvarapproach